Friday, November 05, 2004

Electronic Voting Glitches
A few isolated incidents? Or the beginning of a steady stream of reports? Note that in the third link, it's a county that heavily favored John Kerry. Not counting votes accurately is not counting votes accurately, regardless of who it helps.

There's no evidence of any kind of widespread fraud in the election and therefore no reason to give any credence to loony conspiracy theories. But we still have electronic voting machines that are insecure, unreliable, and wide open to fraud. And we have a number of non-technical problems that we're still failing to address - registration, polling place lines, and ballot design.

This article says it best:
What worries voting reformers more is that Congress, the White House and the states will see the lack of a 2004 election meltdown as vindication of America's voting system and neglect the tools of democracy another four years.

"There's a huge danger," said Ted Selker, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology computer scientist who co-directs the Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project.

"If you're an election official, it's going to be very hard to go to Congress and say we need more money," said Doug Chapin, executive director of Electionline.org, a nonpartisan clearing house for voting reform information. "What they could say is we need to finish the job we started."

Now that election-year pressure is off, will a sharply divided nation forget about shoring up voting systems poorly suited for sharp divisions?

Voting reformists are crossing their fingers and hoping not.

"Is the testing of voting machines satisfactory?" asked Selker. "No. Are the design standards appropriate? No. Are they all improving? Yes. But do we have good mechanisms for improving them? No."

Beyond those issues, the Elections Assistance Commission needs to find the best way to count provisional ballots, develop reliable registration databases and verify electronic votes.
Not Red, Not Blue. Purple

This is fantastic. Edward Tufte would be proud.

Wednesday, November 03, 2004

What To Expect

There will be a smokescreen of uniter-not-divider rhetoric for a short time, but I think it will quickly be replaced by a mean-spirited triumphalism. One of the first manifestations will be an all-out attack on the mainstream media. Here's a clue - keep in mind that these guys are sore winners, too.

Now, the mainstream media deserves plenty of criticism for its faux-objectivity, laziness, and status quo elitism. But that's not what will be under attack. Instead, the objective is to neutralize any journalist and any story that departs from the well-established story lines of the Republican mainstream. If they can't be coerced into being Fox-lite, then they'll be battered into submission.

Jay Rosen has a fascinating, and more optimistic, take on this. And I think he's right. There's still 49% of us who want to hear the other side of the story. That means there's a real opportunity for anyone who can speak truth to power and do it well.
This Election, a Coda

Damn. Damn. Damn.

A few observations:
  • Gay-bashing and fear-mongering is a winning electoral strategy

  • Placing your hopes in voters aged 18-29 is a losing electoral strategy

  • This election was a referendum on the Bush administration, and they won.

  • 51% is sufficient to declare a mandate, especially if you cement your control of Congress.

  • Karl Rove, not GWB or Dick Cheney, is now the most powerful man in America. This is his victory.

The last point, I think, deserves a little more explanation. I think it's safe to say that a lot of Republicans were worried they would lose this election. Lots of folks on the other side, like me, believed that they would. What seems to have put the GOP over the top was the, ahem, values thing. And as far as I know, that was Rove's strategy. So I think everyone who got elected, from Bush down, is feeling both grateful and indebted to Rove.

Four more years, indeed. Welcome to the new intolerance.

Monday, November 01, 2004

The Worst Possible Outcome...
The idea that North American society can exacerbate its drive to economic bimodality without serious fissuring, up to and including a constitutional crisis in the U.S., is not likely...
W.R. Clements, Quantum Jump, 1998

The VoteMaster Revealed
It turns out the guy behind www.electoral-vote.com is Andrew Tanenbaum, who geeks like me know as the author of the Minix operating system (a precursor of Linux). He's currently a Professor of Computer Science at the Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam, The Netherlands (he's American, his wife is Dutch).

There seems to be a lot of interesting stuff coming out of the Netherlands these days.
Keith Olbermann
I really like that Keith Olbermann now has his own blog and I certainly hope his intuitions in this post turn out to be correct tomorrow.

But doesn't his logo image remind you a little of Thomas Dolby in the Hyperactive video?